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Goal Based Investing
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Step 6: Determine the per-year and per-month investments needed
Using the figures that we have till now, you can calculate the lump-sum amount that you can invest now to save enough for your goals. For this, you need to discount the "Cost Then" using the "Rate of Return". In simple terms, it means: How much money you need today, so that it would grow into an amount equal to "Cost Then", if invested at a rate equal to "Rate of Return". |
The formula for this is a variation of the compound interest formula:
Principal = Amount / [{1 + ( Rate / 100 ) } ^ Years ]
For us,
Principal = Lump-sum amount to be invested now
Amount = Cost of achieving the goal at the target time
Rate = Assumed rate of return
Years = Years till the achievement of the goals
For our goals, we arrive at the following figures:
| Sr. No. | Goal | Cost Now | Years From Now | Cost Then | Rate of Return | Amt Needed Now |
| 1 | Buy an apartment | 30,00,000 | 23 | 9214571 | 18% | 204734 |
| 2 | Buy a car | 5,00,000 | 4 | 568238 | 6.65% | 439225 |
Shocked by the amount needed to be invested now, for the goal of buying an apartment? But it is true - and this is the power of compounding. Since you are making a very long term investment, compounding would do most of the hard-work for you!
Also note that the "Amount needed now" is less than the cost of the goals today, because the assumed rate of return is higher than the assumed inflation rate. Since for goal 1, the difference is very high, the amount needed now is significantly lower than the cost of the goal today. For goal 2, the difference is less, and so the amount needed now is only slightly lower than the cost of the goal today.
The "Amount Needed Now" figure gives you the lump-sum amount that you can invest now to save enough for your goals. This would be possible if you have a one-time surplus - like a yearly bonus. If you have such a surplus, go ahead and invest it - and you won't need to invest every year or every month for the goal. But please be careful - I would suggest that even if you do have the amount needed, if you are investing in the stock market, make staggered investments so that you can benefit from cost averaging.
But most people would not have such a large amount at their disposal, and for them, the best way is to invest periodically. So, lets go ahead and find out how much you need to invest every year for each goal.
For doing this, we would use the concept of an Annuity, and we would do it using a function called FV (Future Value) in MS Excel. It looks something like this:
Click here to download the worksheet for this example.
The FV formula gives the future value of a periodic investment, if we know the rate of return, the periodic investment, and number of periods (years).
Here is a little twist - we already know the answer for this formula, and that is the cost of achieving the goal at target time. What we don't know is the "periodic investment", which we need to find out.
So, in MS Excel, insert this formula, and adjust the value of the cell "periodic investment" such that the result of the formula is equal to the cost of achieving the goal at target time. This is the yearly investment needed to earn enough to achieve your goal in time! For simplicity, just divide this amount by 12 to get the monthly amount.
| Sr. No. | Goal | Cost Now | Years From Now | Cost Then | Rate of Return | Amt Needed Now | Amt Needed Per Year | Amt Needed Per Month |
| 1 | Buy an apartment | 30,00,000 | 23 | 9214571 | 18% | 204734 | 37690 | 3141 |
| 2 | Buy a car | 5,00,000 | 4 | 568238 | 6.65% | 439225 | 128650 | 10721 |
Step 7: Start Investing
Now that you know exactly how much you need to save each month for each of your goals, what are you waiting for? Go ahead and start investing!!
You can make the monthly investment needed through a mutual fund Systematic Investment Plan (SIP). If you have multiple goals, as you would in real life, you may combine the monthly investment needed for 2-3 goals and invest them together in a good MF SIP.
Happy investing!
Illustration:
Here is a table indicating the yearly and monthly savings needed if the goal of buying the house is 5, 10, 15, 20, 25 and 30 years away. Again, we assume the rate of inflation to be 5%.
| Sr. No. | Cost Now | Years From Now | Cost Then | Rate of Return | Amt Needed Now | Amt Needed Per Year | Amt Needed Per Month |
| 1 | 3000000 | 5 | 3828845 | 18 | 1673623 | 535188 | 44599 |
| 2 | 3000000 | 10 | 4886684 | 18 | 933672 | 207756 | 17313 |
| 3 | 3000000 | 15 | 6236785 | 18 | 520872 | 102301 | 8525 |
| 4 | 3000000 | 20 | 7959893 | 18 | 290581 | 54286 | 4524 |
| 5 | 3000000 | 25 | 10159065 | 18 | 162108 | 29653 | 2471 |
| 6 | 3000000 | 30 | 12965827 | 18 | 90436 | 16393 | 1366 |
If the goal is 30 years away, you need to set aside a very modest sum of Rs. 16,393 per year. But if the goal is 10 years away, you have to set aside a hefty sum of Rs. 2,07,756 every year.
This example illustrates that the earlier you start saving, the better is the effect of compounding, and therefore, the lesser is the money that you need to invest. Time has a disproportionate positive effect on your returns.
Note:
The calculations that you would do depend on two very important assumptions:
Please note that both these need to be assumed as accurately as possible, as even a little change in these can vastly impact the amount needed to be invested every month, especially for long term goals.
Other articles you might be interested in:
- Direct investment in Stocks versus Mutual Funds (MFs)?
- Are ULIPs a costly form of term insurance plus MF investments?
- ULIP v/s Endowment Plan for Life Insurance
- National Savings Certificate (NSC)
Related links from the web (Sponsored):
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Note: Please treat the opinion expressed here as a broad suggestion. Please consult your financial planner / investment advisor before making any investment decision.
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Add a new CommentLONG LIVE MAN!!!
I appreciate your efforts ...you are really doing a great social service.
ITS REALLY MOTIVATING!!! WILL FOLLOW AS YOU ADVISED
KARVIWHITE
Aug 29, 2008
For instance, it is not clear what the article aims at. Whether to go and purchase a flat or to save in safe /Volatile investment instruments...
The power of compounding applies to both the real estate as well as equity investments. But the depreciation is also to be cosidered for real estate, especially if it is a flat, and the inflation after 23 years, we can't predict. remember , we were euphorinc about the low inflation in Janualry but now a worried lot. it is cyclic, and how come the 18% ROI is taken here i Do not understand. THere are instances that the property prices rise by 200-500 Percentage over 23 years span but incase of flats, are you willing to purchase a 20 year old flat now? Though it was just 5 lakhs in 1988, now it costs say 20 lakhs. Any suggestions? Fine, You say that it is the amount you have to spend to purchase a new apartment after 23 years. But why you stayed on rent for 23 years? are you investing in equities for 23 years while staying on rent. Have you considered the opportunity loss in case you have gone to purchase a flat 23 years ago? Or have you considered the Opportunity loss for not investing in equities for 23 years? are both these options are equivalent? any othere possibilities??
Then there are many other questions. If at all I get some feedback on the above issues
Aug 29, 2008
B. But if you have invested in a flat 23 years behind, how much you paid your bank, (Read the latest woes of the Floating percentage Loanees), what are you getting for 23 years and after that?
Is A-B is Positive or Negative? Are we looking it as of today or after 23 years?
We want to be happy throughout our lives. Isn't it?
In the article, I am not comparing investment in equities with investment in real estate.
The idea is to be aware of the financial cost of your goals in the future, and actively plan for them.
Here's the essence of the srticle:
1. Define the financial goals that you want to pursue. (Purchasing a house is just an example. It can also be your kid's higher education cost, or a corpus for your retirement).
2. Determine the amount needed for the goal today.
3. Determine the amount needed for the goal in the future, taking the trend inflation amount into consideration (which, as you have correctly pointed out, is prone to errors. But that is the best we can do)
4. Find out what is the rate of return you can achieve (it would be the most through equities if you are investing for the long term. But depending on your comfort level, you can even invest in FDs!)
5. Now that you know the return you can get and your target amount, find out the yearly / monthly amount that you would need to save and invest to achieve your goal.
Dec 26, 2008
Thanks for the encouragement.... Happy investing!
Thanks
Keep going in this Way.
God Bless you
Thanks - I am glad that I am being of help.
You can benefit from compounding whenever you reinvest your interest or earnings instead of using them. This way, you get further interest on the interest earned by you.
It is not necessary to invest in stocks to reap the benefits of compounding. You can invest in any instrument - bank FD, post office MIS, PPF - anything.
The key is to not use your earnings, and invest them instead.
Having said this, the maximum benefit of compounding would occur if the instrument gives a higher return. Therefore, I recommended stocks for long term compounding benefit.
If you are uncomfortable investing in stocks, you can start by investing small amount of money every month in a well performing mutual fund - through a syatematic investment plan (SIP).
For more on this, please read "Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) - A rupee a day, keeps worries away".
Feb 11, 2009
First of all, I like your name. Is this a pseudonym? It's a very powerful name with a very Sanskritic flavour to it. I love Sanskrit names. They are so powerful. It's a shame folks are now naming their kids like Tina, bina, etc.. Anyways, back to the main point. Would you please email me at the id I have provided so I can write to you privately about many questions I have? You come across as a sincere person with a desire to help, and I truly admire that.
Regards
Nagendra
Jun 23, 2009
KUDOS... Your article is too good and very expressive. Even a layman can understand what you want to saY.
You really deserve KUDOS.....CHEERS
Venkee
Jul 20, 2009
Jan 06, 2010
For others who complains about flat/equities appreciatation, i think Mr. author is giving you sense about how to calculate/plan.We may consider inflation not 6-7% but can adjust it for asset appreciation, which may give us very aggressive target.
Mr, author again salute to you.
Feb 15, 2010
I have surfed, several websites which just provides jsut a high level information on Investing.
Each of the article on investing is very interesting and it provides an insight on the investing avenues around us.
Thanks on sharing this knowledge to the people.
Ram A
Mar 04, 2010
I was a naive during my intial days of employment.I always thought can someone explain the terms of financial world.
I have been following this site, although silently, from the last two years and found it of great help. I can now proudly explain or discuss about investing. I felt great after reading this article.You are helping all of us in many ways than few.
I appreciate few people here who complained about the depth in this article.To all those, articles in this site are of fantabulous help for us as we are from IT background. This guy here is helping us invest and reap benefits later.he is helping us individually and helping India indirectly.
Thanks again Raag for your valuable effort in putting all this information.






















